Topic: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Ok tennis fans, which player do you pick outside of the top 4 to make the semi's at Roland Garros this year?
I guess it depends a lot on how the draw comes out, the obvious candidates are Soderling, Berdych and Ferrer, anybody got any outsiders who could make it all the way to the semis?
My outside pick would be Richard Gasquet, he can be a bit up and down but if he gets a reasonable draw the home crowd will spur him on I think, what does everybody else think?

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

almagro

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Good choice rjs he is certainly in good form, Gasquet has to get past Djokovic now so his chances have slimmed somewhat

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I'd like to see Florian Mayer do well in this tournament. He's done very well this year on clay, reaching the final in Munich and the quarterfinals in Rome. Also Frederico Gil could be a surprise player to make a deep run in the tournament. He made the finals of Estoril last year, and was a surprise quarterfinalist at Monte Carlo.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Nadal has not been as dominant on clay as he has in the past.  Djokovic must be running out of steam.  Did he not play an exo because he was simply tired or did he just want the time off?  How much time off is he going to take?  How is his preparation the week before the French?  Is he tired or is he hurt?  He is not anywhere near as dominant on clay, even now, as Rafa has been before.  How much longer can he stay focused and hungry.  Are the new guys Dolgopolov, Raonic, and Tomic as hungry as they were at the Australian?  The veterans Hanescu, Gasquet, and Almagro seem very hungry.  Monfils might break out, along with Meltzer, etc.  Meltzer has beaten all the big three and his best surface by far seems to be clay.  For Djokovic Del Potro might be too much of a challenge if he is in descent shape but I don't see Del Potro going all the way with his injuries but he very well could have enough to knock out Djokovic especially since its early on and Djokovic might need some time to find form.  I have Rafa and Roger in the final with Rafa unfortunately again beating Federer.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Del Potro, Almagro, Soderling, & Ferrer are, to me, the most obvious choices.  But Gasquet and Mayer both look right to rock the boat.

Personally, though, I'm thinking will get The Big Four in the semis.

-Arvis

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I could see Almagro or Monfils in place of Murray or Fed, but I don't see Nadal or Djokovic losing before the semis.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

The only person I would think that could POSSIBLY beat Djokovic before the semis is del Potro. Monfils has had a good record at Roland Garros, but last years tournament seemed to be a nightmare that never ended for him, becoming frustrated with Fognini's game style and antics during the match. Almagro has had a stupendous year on the dirt this year, and I could possibly see him as a conteder for the semifinals. He's won 3 titles on clay so far this year, and I think he can secure another deep run in the tournament like last year.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Djokivic is playing a guy that made it to the third round of the French Open last year and it was only his first time there, second round might meet Hernescu who made it to a final today and has a clay court title to his name and also made it to the third round last year and fourth round before that, third round the fun gets better with a possible meeting with Del Potro (has won two titles already), Fourth round do you want a guy who beat Federer and is as fast as I've ever seen him Gasquet or would you rather pick a guy that took a set off you recently on clay (Belucci) and has two clay titles?  Quarterfinals could meet Berdych and semifinals might meet who has fairly recently been the second best clay court player Federer.  Then and only then might you get to play Nadal.  Some of the top guys are playing qualifies for the first two rounds.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

The Djoker does have a tough draw but they only play every 2nd day so unless he has some tough 5 setters he should be ok, but to win at Roland Garros he will have to win 7 matches against :
De Bakker, Hanescu or Paire, Del Po or Gulbis, Bellucci or Gasquet, Berdych or Cilic, Ferrer or Federer, and finally Nadal or Soderling! Tough matches from Round 3 onwards for Novak huh!
Wow does Nole have the toughest draw this year or what??
For this reason I choose Rafa to continue his dominance at RG smile

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Aiur wrote:

I could see Almagro or Monfils in place of Murray or Fed, but I don't see Nadal or Djokovic losing before the semis.

Good lord man, the day Monfils beats Federer in a Grand Slam is the day I stop watching tennis.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Going back to what Tono said, its true, Djokovic has a pretty tough draw to go through. Also, a very possible blockbuster quarterfinal could turn out to be Nadal versus Soderling. Tfhat match will set the tone for the rest of the tournament, because who ever wins that match could very likely become the champion.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I would like Isner to be in the semi's

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Arvis wrote:
Aiur wrote:

I could see Almagro or Monfils in place of Murray or Fed, but I don't see Nadal or Djokovic losing before the semis.

Good lord man, the day Monfils beats Federer in a Grand Slam is the day I stop watching tennis.

Have you seen Fed's play in 'Slams recently? The word erratic doesn't begin to describe his form. Up two sets to love against Simon at this year's Aussie Open before saving it in five, up two sets to one on Djokovic at the US Open last year (when Novak had his serve troubles) and blew it, eeked by Falla at Wimbledon last year.

This isn't Roger Federer from 2003-2007 anymore. His game has been deteriorating slowly but surely over the last three or so years.

BTW, I'm sure if I told you a journeyman named Robin Soderling would beat Rafael Nadal at Roland Garros two years ago, you would have said the exact same thing.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Very true. I predict Federer to be out of the game in the at most the next 3 years. It wouldn't be a shocker if Federer lost early on in this tournament. Monfils has had a good record on clay, he could very well be a candidate to beat him this year.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Er.... no.  My post had nothing to do with Federer and everything to do with Monfils.  Monfils is TERRIBLE!  How his ranking is where it is is one of the great mysteries of the world.  THE MAN DOESN'T PLAY TENNIS!  He is injured every other point he plays!

Crap on Federer all you want, but we're talking about a man who lost in the 2nd round here last year to Fognini.  WHO, exactly, has Monfils beaten this year that makes you think he'll even make it to the quarters?  For the record, Monfils just dropped the first set to Bjorn Phau.  BJORN.  PHAU.

I'm not saying Federer won't go out early, but I am guaranteeing that Monfils WILL.

-Arvis

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Monfils will go down as one of worst waste's of talent the sport has ever seen. However, when the guy is on the court (especially on clay) he can make things happen. If he's healthy, playing great defense and returning well, I don't see any reason why he wouldn't have a chance against Fed. They played a fairly tight four setter at Roland Garros three years ago I think.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

True, if athletic ability = success, Monfils would wins Slams all over the place.  But obviously that is not the case.  The only two things I'll remember Monfils for is:
1) Virtua Tennis 3
2) Beating Andy Roddick in the French Open 4th round in 2009 and freaking out like it was actually some kind of accomplishment.

I am surprised that anyone is even talking about Monfils at all when you have David Ferrer in that quarter.  You know Ferrer, the guy who is actually good at tennis and worth talking about?  The guy who (if Monfils makes it that far) will beat Monfils easily?  You know who I'm talking about.

-Arvis

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Monfils has beaten Ferrer the only two times they've played, including the quarters of the French in 2008.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I agree completely with Arvis...Ferrer is white hot this year, and Monfils at BEST is erratic. I also like Almagro to make the semis...Murray is no clay court player. Also, I think Ferrer can easily take Federer, given his increasingly deteriorating form; I like Ferrer v. Djokovic & Rafa v. Almagro, with Nadal beating ther Djoker in the final. Also, though I would never even DREAM that they'd make the semis, I think Dolgopolov and Bellucci are to be watched. Gasquet is playing well and all, but Bellucci is a clay-court specialist and seems to have found his form & his calling at the same time. As for DelPo, I'd take him more seriously if he wasn't playing a man with a 40 match winning streak including 4 wins over Rafa in finals (2 of which were on clay >.<) and 3 over Federer...

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

his meaning Federer's

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Aiur wrote:

Monfils has beaten Ferrer the only two times they've played, including the quarters of the French in 2008.

Ok, well if 2008 Monfils gets in a time machine and takes over for 2011 Monfils, then he MIGHT take a set off 2011 Ferrer.

Adrian wrote:

Also, though I would never even DREAM that they'd make the semis, I think Dolgopolov and Bellucci are to be watched. Gasquet is playing well and all, but Bellucci is a clay-court specialist and seems to have found his form & his calling at the same time.

Sorry friend, but I've picked Ryan Sweeting to upset Dolgopolov in the second round. wink
Dolgopolov has been disappointing while Sweeting has won a clay tourney this year (somehow)!  Obviously I could be way off and Dolgopolov could decide to play well.  Who knows with that guy?
And poor Bellucci will run into The Superb Serb himself if he can make it to the 4th round.  Either way, you're spot on about the fact that both these players should be watched.  A ton of exciting potential surrounds the both of them.

-Arvis

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

Arvis wrote:
Aiur wrote:

Monfils has beaten Ferrer the only two times they've played, including the quarters of the French in 2008.

Ok, well if 2008 Monfils gets in a time machine and takes over for 2011 Monfils, then he MIGHT take a set off 2011 Ferrer.


-Arvis

The last win came in July of last year at the Davis Cup. It was on an indoor hard court, not exactly the preferred surface of Monfils.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I predict Dolgopolov to beat Sweeting. He has a lot more experience of handling the pressure of playing on a big stage. I watched Sweeting win his maiden title in Houston, and he was so close to choking away the second set. If he almost crumbles over THAT kind of pressure, we'll have to see how he handles playing at Grand Slam event.

Re: Choose your upset pick for the Men's French Open Semi's!

I predict Dolgopolov to do well this year, he had a good Aussie Open and will look to back it up with a good performance here too, hopefully he can get past Schuettler in the 1st round bcoz I picked him on my team wink
If he starts well and plays confidently then I think he is a dangerous floater in that quarter of the draw, he likes clay and I think he has the ability to beat Troicki and Murray so lets see how he goes.