Topic: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Is Roger usuing his experience and just doing enough to get through his matches at the moment or has he lost a little confidence from his 2nd round scare against Gilles Simon?
He has Robredo next which I would expect he will win but it will be interesting to see how he plays, maybe he is saving up for the quarters onwards, possibly Roddick then Djokovic then the final if he can keep winning.
I'm getting that feeling again that he is starting to mistime more shots than he would like?? Or is that just me being paranoid for the Fed?
I must admit Rafa looks strong at the moment but you don't win slams in the first week huh, barring injury he looks certain to make the semis at the very least though where i assume he will meet either Murray, Tsonga or Soderling.
Good to see the likes of Berdych, Verdasco, Baghdatis, Melzer and Ferrer playing well too, things are starting to heat up in the mens!!

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Fed would love to win quick matches but is it now common for him to let down mentally and get into tough situations. He is still amazing, but I do think his confidence is shaken and he sometimes forgets that he's the best player of all time.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I would have to say Federer is having a very successful tournament thus far. He beat Gilles Simon for the first time ever (he was 0-2 lifetime against him). Simon was a former world number 5/6 and still has some major game. This win will definitely propel him to the semifinals. No reasons to worry now, this tournament is going exactly the way he wants it to.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I saw his match against the X-Man yesterday, and it was comfortable. He was playing at about 70%, just in cruise control basically. The match against Simon is what should have been expected if Simon was healthy, which he was. Simon was the #6 player in the world until his injury last year. He won a tuneup event before coming to Melbourne, so that should have indicated the injury was behind him. Roger was 0-2 against Simon before the match, so you know Simon is a dangerous player. Simon is like Murray in a way but slightly more aggressive when the time comes, and we've seen that style of play bother a lot of players, not just Fed. It was a good test against a guy who should be in the top 10 at the end of the season.

As for Robredo, I've seen his last two matches, and he's looked very beatable. He got off to a really slow start in both matches, and Fed won't let him off the hook if he starts off slow again. He would really need to come out with vintage Robredo from years past and hope Roger isn't playing well to take a set IMO. I expect Fed to play at about 80% and then turn it on if necessary.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

On his best day Tommy Robredo might take a set from Roger.  They've played 9 times, the last 3 in Grand Slams, and Robredo has won exactly 2 of 23 sets.  Straights at the U.S. and Aussie Opens, but Tommy took a set at RG and a set on hard courts way back in '02 in Vienna. 

It's hard to believe that Roddick can beat Fed on a court as slow as these.  Andy cannot out-rally Roger.  He will have to rely on his serve and become far, far more aggressive.  That's harder to do on a slower court even if he tries, and he may not.  If he stays with the defensive style (except for the serve) he's been employing, Andy has no chance whatsoever to make it a close match.  If Wawrinka knocks off Andy, it gets even easier for Fed.  Stan is more competitive with Roger on clay.

I don't see much of a test for Roger till the semis.

Last edited by DonDenman (Jan. 21, 2011 2:18pm)

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Did you see Stan play last night night, Don? I don't think I've ever seen him play that well. He had Monfils on a string all night, absolutely crushing backhands at will. I highly doubt he can come out and play like that again from start to finish, but if he gets hot like that even for set it could get dicey for Roddick.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I agree with Aiur; Wawrinka is a powerhouse, and Roddick is just plain broken. It's my personal opinion that he no longer has what it takes to make quarters or semis, and this slow hard court is really not conducive to his style of play AND he's as full of demons as Fed playing Nadal on clay. Wawrinka's proven himself in this and the U.S. Open to be capable of really excellent play & of achieving upsets....my vote is for Stas to win.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Stan certainly was in great form against Monfils.  (Of course, Monfils does give you a lot of off-pace balls that make you look either great or awful.)  It would be no surprise if Stan knocks Andy off -- but to do so he will have to maintain that level of play (or close to it) and serve well.  Andy's serve has been excellent as usual.  The rest of his game has been too passive so far.  As far as demons, he certainly has a bunch when it comes to Fed, for sure.  Whether that extends to the likes of Stan or not, I doubt.  I think you're being overly hard on Andy.  I don't think it's at all clear which of the two will win.  I expect a 4 or 5-setter.  Whoever serves better in the last set wins -- or that's my guess, anyway.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Sorry, I do have a personal dislike of Roddick; that probably gets in the way!
I agree, it'll probably be close, but I still think Wawrinka can swing it.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I actually do like Andy.  But if you want to continue to like Andy, it's best not to watch too many of his press conferences.  I don't know how he came to detest the press so much that he actually shows it regularly, but he did.  The questions do get repetitive and downright stupid.  Still, sometimes he acts like he thinks he's queen for a day.  I'm sure celebrity grates sometimes.  Never really had the problem all that much myself, so I'm just speculating about that, really.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I also think he's a bit of a jerk on the court; I've seen him throw ridiculous tantrums over line calls & such that really lower my opinion of him.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

He does seem to let things get to him now that would not have in the past.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I can't help but feel bad for Roddick. If Fed never picked up a tennis racquet, Roddick probably has 5 'Slams at least. Sometimes in the press conferences after Fed dismantles him, he just looks and sounds lost. Gotta give him credit though, most guys would just fade away, but he is still a top 10 player. I really hope he can get another 'Slam, even if it means beating my boy Fed along the way.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Wimbledon is probably his best chance now, he needs a few things to go his way but with his big serve and the right desire he could still win Wimbledon I reckon. He can be a bit of a brat occassionally but he is mellowing a little as he gets older, I'll never forget how shattered he was after losing that epic final against Federer at Wimbledon, knowing that may have been his best chance to add another slam to his trophy cabinet, he would get everyones sympathy vote if he made another final in the slams, well everyones except maybe you Adrian.....:) I know what you mean though I have never liked him that much either but in my opinion he is more likeable now than he used to be.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

My older daughter loved Goran Ivanisevic the most precisely because he suffered so much.

Same dynamic, even if flawed in a less attractive way.

Last edited by DonDenman (Jan. 22, 2011 12:18am)

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

ha Ivanisevic! what a card.........I remember how he once insulted McEnroe in an interview, which made me instantly dislike him. I love McEnroe! Once went to see him play an exhibition against Becker, and somehow managed to get his autograph after the match xD

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Here we go again. Fed is cruising along, up a set and heading towards a tiebreak against Robredo. All of the sudden, his good buddy the mental demon shows up, and he makes error after error. Just like that, Robredo levels the match. Best two of three now.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I hope for the sake of my team that Fed wins, but for the sake of my boy Nadal, I hope Robredo destroys him after this!!!

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Never in doubt for Roger, he is just trying to save some energy for the bigger matches ahead I think.
Berdych beat Verdasco too, I was hoping Fernando might pull out a big one but it wasnt to be.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Yeah I was pretty disappointed; the Australian is usually Verdasco's best Slam sad
Oh well, Djoker'll take care of him, the guy's playing really really well.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Like I said, Robredo at the top of his game is good for a set against Fed.  He'll come good against the Roddick/Wawrinka winner without too much trouble, I think.

Berdych/Djokovic should be a great one.  They're both playing beautifully.  Should come down to a few points.

I think the same will be true of Murray/Soderling.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Yep you are bang on there Don, Berdych and the Joker will be a great match, I feel like Novak will win though.
Murray and Soderling will be a great match too if it eventuates, gee did I have a bad day today with my 4th round picks, Li Na, Schiavone and Petkovic all winning didn't help my cause sad good for you Don with Petkovic winning though.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

I'm thinking it'll be Djokovic and Fed in the semis, with the Djoker coming out on top to reach the finals...

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Roger better come out all cylinders firing against Stan. Stan has played the best tennis I've ever seen him play, and that beautiful one handed backhand is lethal. If Fed plays like he did against Robredo, he won't win.

Re: Is Roger saving energy or has he lost a little confidence?

Agree Aiur, Fed has been a little off his game in the past few matches, look for him to step it up from the quarters onward though, Roger and Stan know each other so well it will be tight I suspect but I expect the Fed Express to start finding his mojo again, he will know that if he doesn't then his friend Stan might send him packing.